I plan to continue my discussion of Boij–Söderberg theory from last time, but I’d like to make a quick detour first. This came up today in the office when I was talking with yanzhang.

Question: If I randomly pick numbers (with a uniform distribution) from the unit interval [0,1], what is the expected number of numbers that I need to pick before their sum is at least 1?

The answer for some strange reason is the number e, and I’ll illustrate this with two approaches. Both give different expressions of e, so this problem will show an equivalence between two definitions of e.

The first approach is to use calculus. For , let f(r) be the expected number of randomly selected numbers in [0,1] so that their sum is at least r, and define f(r) = 0 if r is negative. Then we have the following integral equation

.

To see this, pick a number t randomly in [0,1], and then add f(r-t). Since we need to account for all such t, we just integrate over [0,r] (I could integrate over [0,1], but remember that f(r-t) = 0 if t>r), and divide this integral by the length of [0,1], which is 1. The second inequality follows from a change of variables s=r-t. Taking derivatives of both sides, we get by the fundamental theorem of calculus, so for some constant c. Of course, f(0) = 1, so c=1. Our original question was for r=1, in which case f(1) = e, as we promised.

The second approach is the same, except we discretize everything. Let’s ask an analogous question. First fix k. If I randomly pick integers uniformly from [0,k], what is the expected number that I need before their sum is at least n, where ? Let g(n) be this expected value. Then again, we have

by the same reasoning as before. Let be the first difference operator, i.e., . Now apply to the above equation to get

.

Of course, g(-1) = 0, and rewriting this last equation gives

assuming that n>0. Since g(0) = 1, this means that . Now set k=n: If we rephrase this question, we also see that g(n) is the expected number of random selections of rational numbers with denominator n from [0,1] such that their sum is at least 1. Letting n go to infinity, we should get the answer from the previous method since the rationals form a dense subset of the reals.

So these two approaches show the equivalence of two definitions of e: one as the unique number such that , and the other as the limit .

Do you know of any other solutions to the original question?

-Steven

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Let be iid uniform in random variables and . Then

For , assume

Then

. Then

By:

don February 26, 2009at 6:02 AM

Nice article! BTW, isn’t the second inequality actually an equality?

By:

Pete Bevinon February 26, 2009at 3:19 PM

I propose the following proof : let be a sequence of i.i.d. uniformly distributed random variables, and . We need the expected value of the minimal k such that , and this is easily proved to equal the sum over all positive n of the probability P(n) that k is greater than or equal to n.

For each n, P(n) is the probability that the sum of n numbers in [0,1] is less than 1. Then P(n) is the volume of the simplex , which is easily proved to be 1/n! (by induction on n for example).

You thus obtain another equivalent definition of e, the one with power series.

By:

remyoudomphengon February 26, 2009at 3:40 PM

Solution 3: Let p(k) be the probability that, after choosing k numbers, the sum is still less than 1. So the probability that we will pick exactly k numbers is p(k)-p(k+1) and the expected number of picks is

sum k (p(k)-p(k+1)) = sum p(k)

Now, p(k) is just the volume of the pyramid

{(x_1, …, x_k) : 0 \leq x_1, .., x_k, x_1+x_2+…+x_k \leq 1}

This is 1/k!.So the expected number of picks is

sum 1/k!

By:

David Speyeron February 26, 2009at 4:17 PM

[…] Combinatorial approach to e I plan to continue my discussion of Boij–Söderberg theory from last time, but I’d like to make a quick detour […] […]

By:

Top Posts « WordPress.comon February 27, 2009at 12:45 AM

This is a rather cool way of extracting e from the uniform [0,1] distribution. Of course, we can obtain pi by considering a related problem: what is the probability that the sum of the squares two U[0,1] random variables is less than one? (Answer: pi/4)

My question is thus: is it possible to do something similar to extract the Euler-Mascheroni constant from the uniform [0,1] distribution?

By:

Simon Spiceron February 27, 2009at 10:19 AM